'Power Play'
TXU, FLR, CAT, TEX, MDR, FWLT, ABB, IFS and
SPW
"Right now, we have a fantastic bull market in infrastructure -
especially energy infrastructure.
We don't have enough power plants, enough transmission equipment, not
enough fuel, not enough transport to get the fuel to the plants.
I think this is going to be a long, sexy bull market, because I have an
idea why it's happening and because it's long, you will be able to do a
'mon-back every time these stocks get hit, as they were today!
We have had decades of underinvestment in energy infrastructure in this
country and in the world. And now we can't produce enough
power.
Yes, the sky-high price of crude is part of the energy
problem.
That's not the bottleneck. The real bottleneck is that we
just
don't have enough powerplants.
That's why we've got this energy infrastructure bull market.
But even the best bull markets need catalysts.
Last week,
TXU, a really big texas utility
co., came out and announced a giant plan to spend $10 million on 11 new
coal plants.
The market expected txu to do some spending, but they weren't looking
for anything this big!
When you get some serious capital spending, in a sector like energy
infrastructure, that's already in bull mode, it's like Christmas came
early.
Txu told you exactly where it's going. They're using Fluor
(FLR). Man, that stock's
been a rocket since the qtr. And Bectel, unfortunately not
public traded, as the primaries.
Should you buy FLR? Great stock, but that's what everyone
else
will be doing. So, at this level, don't buy - don't buy.
Sometimes it pays to be clever and go further down the food
chain.
FLR and Bectel will both have to
source the things that go into new plants to other cos
Cramer's not a big believer in trickle-down economics, but I am a
believer in trickle-down stock picking.
The money rolls down from TXU to
FLR, and then it goes from
FLR to the sub contractors, who
you need to think about buying.
You want an example of what I'm talking about?
For the construction machinery to build the plants, cat, down 5, or
TEX! Both are good.
CAT
shouldn't be down 5. It's just a bunch of guys
ringing the register.
Then there's
MDR and FWLT!
(FWLT just did a nice refinancing last night) both are in a position to
catch some of the money, which is trickling down from TXU.
Both
of these cos make plant equipment.
Want to get a more high tech? A co. That reports
later this
week is ABB. They do systems integration and automation stuff
for
power plants.
A little guy,
IFS, a co. that makes the
transmission and distribution equipment that hooks up the new power
plants to the grid.
SPW, cooling towers.
Another potential buy.
I'm not going to mention the name of the co. that makes electric
generators and turbines - because I work for them (GE).
Bottom line!: $10 million is trickling down from
TXU to FLR, CAT, TEX, MDR, FWLT, ABB, IFS
and SPW. I think they are all buys if you do your
homework."